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Assessing the effectiveness of lock-down measures in containing virus spread

European Parliament

Lock-down measures in response to the corona virus crisis severely restrict our freedom of going about our daily lives. In order to assess the effectiveness of such measures in containing the spread of the Corona virus, I plan to commission the European Parliament’s Research Service to create a table on as many EU Member States as possible, stating for how many days the following measures have been in place, respectively:

  • Mass gathering bans (e.g. large events)
  • Closure of social and cultural meeting places (e.g. bars, nightclubs, restaurants, cafeterias, museums, theatres, cinemas, sports clubs)
  • Closure of religious sites
  • Closure of day-care facilities and educational institutions (e.g. schools, higher education)
  • Workplace closures (e.g. shops, restaurants)
  • Restricting visits to special institutions such as care facilities or hospitals
  • Restricting private gatherings in public
  • Restricting travel by citizens within the country
  • Restricting travel by citizens to and from other EU countries
  • Restricting movement of all citizens in public (obligation to stay at home)

The effectiveness of a country’s policies shall be measured by the number of confirmed infections per 100,000 citizens.

Is there a statistically significant relationship between a given measure and the coincidence of the virus?

Please let me know any comments and suggestions to improve the design of the study by tonight (8 p.m.).

Photo by stevefge



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